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Daniel Kahneman: Beware the 'inside view

Daniel Kahneman: Beware the 'inside view

In an excerpt from his new book, Thinking, Fast and Slow, the Nobel laureate recalls how an inwardly focused forecasting approach once led him astray, and why an external perspective can help executives do better.

Why Do You Need to Use Base Rates (Outside View) to Make Decisions? - WisdomFromExperts

How 'Noise' Affects Our Judgment in Business, Science, Government and Beyond - WSJ

Daniel Kahneman: Beware the 'inside view

Don't buy a fund because it feels right

STRANGE CONTAGION

The Invisible Gorilla: How Our Intuitions Deceive Us: Chabris, Christopher, Simons, Daniel: 9780307459664: : Books

Michael Mauboussin — How Great Investors Make Decisions, Harnessing The Wisdom (vs. Madness) of Crowds, Lessons from Race Horses, and More (#659) - The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss

4 Different Perspectives to Solve Problems

Daniel Kahneman: The Illusion Of Understanding – Just How Lucky Were The Founders Of Google

One simple tip to improve your development and project estimates, by Ben The Hosk Hosking